Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.435278 0.478516 0.525438 0.580351 0.643126 0.712967 0.796991
2025-05-11 0.348784 0.405693 0.472333 0.557006 0.662995 0.793012 0.967319
2025-05-18 0.297890 0.359654 0.435772 0.538170 0.675001 0.855592 1.119164
2025-05-25 0.266200 0.330766 0.413578 0.530186 0.694604 0.925494 1.288649
2025-06-01 0.242738 0.308786 0.396333 0.524445 0.713639 0.994311 1.467038
2025-06-08 0.223654 0.290195 0.380899 0.518115 0.729184 1.058200 1.648773
2025-06-15 0.214129 0.283453 0.380683 0.532923 0.777396 1.179415 1.954059
2025-06-22 0.198308 0.266315 0.363686 0.520047 0.779333 1.223449 2.128201
2025-06-29 0.187290 0.255122 0.354258 0.517552 0.797362 1.297399 2.378478
2025-07-06 0.173406 0.238667 0.335486 0.497986 0.783349 1.310024 2.502676
2025-07-13 0.168904 0.235845 0.337265 0.512073 0.830038 1.445172 2.938258
2025-07-20 0.164582 0.232922 0.338524 0.525190 0.876445 1.588226 3.442201
2025-07-27 0.157918 0.226195 0.333586 0.527822 0.904941 1.703205 3.929888
2025-08-03 0.147471 0.212932 0.317127 0.508531 0.888197 1.716613 4.143311
2025-08-10 0.138472 0.201470 0.302888 0.491987 0.874954 1.735856 4.384771
2025-08-17 0.131949 0.193629 0.294200 0.484916 0.880449 1.800915 4.803642
2025-08-24 0.126307 0.186899 0.286934 0.479817 0.889411 1.876508 5.297936
2025-08-31 0.121024 0.180468 0.279751 0.474189 0.896425 1.948733 5.821151
2025-09-07 0.119076 0.179486 0.282036 0.487351 0.947726 2.152673 7.005759
2025-09-14 0.113564 0.172172 0.272539 0.475907 0.940020 2.188469 7.485719
2025-09-21 0.109765 0.167607 0.267741 0.473688 0.954200 2.292606 8.371997
2025-09-28 0.104092 0.159545 0.256101 0.456274 0.928898 2.270524 8.600182
2025-10-05 0.102867 0.159152 0.258567 0.468814 0.980346 2.504664 10.454412